Saint Kitts ve Nevis 1-0 Bahamalar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.51
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
8%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
76%
-17.8pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.8pp
22%
Away Win
8%
+13.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint Kitts ve Nevis EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahamalar EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
475 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint Kitts ve Nevis
1-0
AWAY Bahamalar
2.00 xG 0.09
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 3
347 Passes 137
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
51 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saint Kitts ve Nevis vs Bahamalar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint Kitts ve Nevis squeezed past Bahamalar 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saint Kitts ve Nevis as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Saint Kitts ve Nevis had 68% of the ball to Bahamalar's 32%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.00 to 0.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Saint Kitts ve Nevis's control.

What was the final score of Saint Kitts ve Nevis vs Bahamalar?

Saint Kitts ve Nevis 1-0 Bahamalar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint Kitts ve Nevis vs Bahamalar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint Kitts ve Nevis win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Saint Kitts ve Nevis 58%, draw 21%, Bahamalar 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint Kitts ve Nevis), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint Kitts ve Nevis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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