St. Lucia vs Aruba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Lucia v Aruba — Team-Based Signals
St. Lucia 2-2 Aruba — Actual Match Statistics
St. Lucia and Aruba couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was St. Lucia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, St. Lucia had 57% of the ball to Aruba's 43%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.98 to 1.78.
What was the final score of St. Lucia vs Aruba?
St. Lucia 2-2 Aruba in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Lucia vs Aruba?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Lucia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Lucia 45%, draw 25%, Aruba 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Lucia), BTTS No went the other way.