Malta 0-2 Yunanistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jun 2024

Malta
0-2 HT 0-2
Yunanistan
📅11/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Malta vs Yunanistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
6.35
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
45%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
13%
+12.5pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.6pp
45%
Away Win
67%
-22.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malta v Yunanistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malta EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunanistan EU Bookmakers 71%
+26% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.53/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.91
+41% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -43%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses –
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Malta vs Yunanistan Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malta
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Yunanistan
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.11.2022 Malta Malta 2-2 HT 0-1 Yunanistan Yunanistan HAZ
04.06.2011 Yunanistan Yunanistan 3-1 HT 2-0 Malta Malta AVR
26.03.2011 Malta Malta 0-1 HT 0-0 Yunanistan Yunanistan AVR
17.11.2007 Yunanistan Yunanistan 5-0 HT 1-0 Malta Malta AVR
28.03.2007 Malta Malta 0-1 HT 0-0 Yunanistan Yunanistan AVR

Malta 0-2 Yunanistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malta
0-2
AWAY Yunanistan
0.40 xG 2.39
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
168 Passes 569
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malta vs Yunanistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunanistan beat Malta 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yunanistan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Malta had 28% of the ball to Yunanistan's 72%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.40 to 2.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yunanistan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Malta and 2.40 for Yunanistan.

What was the final score of Malta vs Yunanistan?

Malta 0-2 Yunanistan in the Friendlies on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malta vs Yunanistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yunanistan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Malta 25%, draw 30%, Yunanistan 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunanistan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yunanistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
11 Jun 2024
17:00 Azerbaycan vs Kazakistan Analysis →
19:00 Moldova vs Ukrayna Analysis →
19:00 Hırvatistan U21 vs İsveç U21 Analysis →
21:45 Kuzey İrlanda vs Andorra Analysis →
21:45 Portekiz vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti Analysis →