Moldova 0-4 Ukrayna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jun 2024

Moldova
0-4 HT 0-2
Ukrayna
📅11/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Moldova vs Ukrayna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.91
Over 2.5
36%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 35% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-12.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
48%
+15.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
52%
-15.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.5pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moldova v Ukrayna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moldova EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna EU Bookmakers 64%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.37/3.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-68% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Moldova vs Ukrayna Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moldova
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ukrayna
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 10
The Meetings
03.09.2014 Ukrayna Ukrayna 1-0 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova HAZ
26.03.2013 Ukrayna Ukrayna 2-1 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova DKE
12.10.2012 Moldova Moldova 0-0 HT 0-0 Ukrayna Ukrayna DKE

Moldova 0-4 Ukrayna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moldova
0-4
AWAY Ukrayna
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
264 Passes 659
81% Pass Accuracy 92%
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Moldova vs Ukrayna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna ran out comfortable winners over Moldova 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ukrayna as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Moldova had 42% of the ball to Ukrayna's 58%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ukrayna led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Moldova and 1.00 for Ukrayna.

What was the final score of Moldova vs Ukrayna?

Moldova 0-4 Ukrayna in the Friendlies on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moldova vs Ukrayna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ukrayna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Moldova 25%, draw 28%, Ukrayna 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ukrayna), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ukrayna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
11 Jun 2024
17:00 Azerbaycan vs Kazakistan Analysis →
19:00 Hırvatistan U21 vs İsveç U21 Analysis →
19:00 Malta vs Yunanistan Analysis →
21:45 Kuzey İrlanda vs Andorra Analysis →
21:45 Portekiz vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti Analysis →