Portekiz 3-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.4
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
27.5
X/1
22%
3.35
X/2
8%
24.45
X/X
7%
8.88
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
4%
19.4
2/X
4%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
74%
-6.3pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.7pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.76/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/2.49
+73% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
462 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
39.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.2
23.1 Crosses 10.7
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz
2W-1D-1L
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.75 xG 0.65
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
458 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.11.2021 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 0-0 HT 0-0 Portekiz Portekiz DKE
01.09.2021 Portekiz Portekiz 2-1 HT 0-1 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti DKE
11.06.2014 Portekiz Portekiz 5-1 HT 3-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti HAZ
09.02.2005 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 1-0 HT 1-0 Portekiz Portekiz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz
3-0
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
1.33 xG 0.46
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
723 Passes 285
93% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Portekiz vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz swept aside İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Portekiz as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portekiz had 69% of the ball to İrlanda Cumhuriyeti's 31%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.33 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portekiz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Portekiz and 0.75 for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Portekiz vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti?

Portekiz 3-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti in the Friendlies on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Portekiz 68%, draw 17%, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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