Liepaja 1-1 Vikingur Gota — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur Gota EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
1-1
AWAY Vikingur Gota
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Vikingur Gota
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja and Vikingur Gota shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Liepaja had 46% of the ball to Vikingur Gota's 54%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Vikingur Gota?

Liepaja 1-1 Vikingur Gota in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Vikingur Gota?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 41%, draw 26%, Vikingur Gota 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
11 Jul 2024
18:00 FA Siauliai vs FC Levadia Analysis →
18:00 Aktobe vs FK Sarajevo Analysis →
18:00 Malisheva vs Buducnost Podgorica Analysis →
19:00 Magpies vs Derry City Analysis →
19:00 NK Bravo vs Connahs Quay Analysis →
19:00 Noah vs KF Shkendija Analysis →