Malisheva 1-0 Buducnost Podgorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malisheva EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Buducnost Podgorica EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malisheva
1-0
AWAY Buducnost Podgorica
52% Ball Possession 48%
3 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malisheva vs Buducnost Podgorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malisheva squeezed past Buducnost Podgorica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malisheva as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Malisheva had 52% of the ball to Buducnost Podgorica's 48%, shots finished 3-5.

What was the final score of Malisheva vs Buducnost Podgorica?

Malisheva 1-0 Buducnost Podgorica in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malisheva vs Buducnost Podgorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malisheva win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Malisheva 42%, draw 27%, Buducnost Podgorica 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malisheva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malisheva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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