Magpies vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Magpies v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Magpies 2-0 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Magpies beat Derry City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Magpies had 46% of the ball to Derry City's 54%, shots finished 12-9.
What was the final score of Magpies vs Derry City?
Magpies 2-0 Derry City in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Magpies vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Magpies 26%, draw 22%, Derry City 52%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.