NK Bravo 0-1 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-13.9pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.4pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -13%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 176 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Bravo
0-1
AWAY Connahs Quay
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NK Bravo vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over NK Bravo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had NK Bravo at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, NK Bravo had 53% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 47%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of NK Bravo vs Connahs Quay?

NK Bravo 0-1 Connahs Quay in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Bravo vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Bravo win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split NK Bravo 66%, draw 20%, Connahs Quay 14%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NK Bravo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Bravo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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