Dayton Dutch Lions 0-1 Fort Wayne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
52%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
44%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
11%
+13.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
52%
Away Win
67%
-14.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dayton Dutch Lions EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Fort Wayne EU Bookmakers 71%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.68/2.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.71
-34% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +45%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dayton Dutch Lions
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Fort Wayne
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
29.06.2024 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne 3-1 HT 2-0 Dayton Dutch Lions Dayton Dutch Lions USL2
29.06.2023 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne 2-0 HT 0-0 Dayton Dutch Lions Dayton Dutch Lions USL2
15.06.2023 Dayton Dutch Lions Dayton Dutch Lions 0-4 HT 0-1 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne USL2
07.06.2023 Dayton Dutch Lions Dayton Dutch Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne USL2
11.07.2022 Dayton Dutch Lions Dayton Dutch Lions 0-5 HT 0-3 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne USL2
POST-MATCH Dayton Dutch Lions vs Fort Wayne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fort Wayne squeezed past Dayton Dutch Lions 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fort Wayne as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fort Wayne led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Dayton Dutch Lions and 2.80 for Fort Wayne.

What was the final score of Dayton Dutch Lions vs Fort Wayne?

Dayton Dutch Lions 0-1 Fort Wayne in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dayton Dutch Lions vs Fort Wayne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fort Wayne win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dayton Dutch Lions 25%, draw 23%, Fort Wayne 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fort Wayne), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fort Wayne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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