Houston FC 0-1 AHFC Royals — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
59%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.17
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.8pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
58%
Away Win
67%
-8.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.1pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston FC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY AHFC Royals EU Bookmakers 72%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-59% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY AHFC Royals
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
14.06.2023 Houston FC Houston FC 1-2 HT 1-0 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals USL2
27.05.2023 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals 3-0 HT 1-0 Houston FC Houston FC USL2
18.05.2023 Houston FC Houston FC 1-3 HT 0-0 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals USL2
POST-MATCH Houston FC vs AHFC Royals
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AHFC Royals squeezed past Houston FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AHFC Royals as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AHFC Royals led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Houston FC and 2.67 for AHFC Royals.

What was the final score of Houston FC vs AHFC Royals?

Houston FC 0-1 AHFC Royals in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston FC vs AHFC Royals?

Before kick-off our model rated an AHFC Royals win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Houston FC 22%, draw 19%, AHFC Royals 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AHFC Royals), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AHFC Royals) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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