11/07/2024
·
03:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
River Light vs Chicago Dutch Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
82%
21%
Draw
10%
21%
Away Win
8%
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
49%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
River Light v Chicago Dutch Lions — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
River Light
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Chicago Dutch Lions
EU Bookmakers 11%
+18% /
+18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
3.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/3.00
+6%
/
-52%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-12%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
21
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
417 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
319 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
River Light vs Chicago Dutch Lions Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
River Light
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Chicago Dutch Lions
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
03.06.2024
Chicago Dutch Lions
0-2
HT 0-0
River Light
USL2
0-2
HT 0-0
River Light
USL2
POST-MATCH
River Light vs Chicago Dutch Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
River Light saw off Chicago Dutch Lions 3-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had River Light as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.
What was the final score of River Light vs Chicago Dutch Lions?
River Light 3-1 Chicago Dutch Lions in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for River Light vs Chicago Dutch Lions?
Before kick-off our model rated a River Light win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split River Light 57%, draw 21%, Chicago Dutch Lions 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Light), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (River Light)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
11 Jul 2024