St. Croix 1-2 Thunder Bay Chill — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Croix EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Thunder Bay Chill EU Bookmakers 42%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.87/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.16
-48% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Croix
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Thunder Bay Chill
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.06.2023 St. Croix St. Croix 0-2 HT 0-2 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill USL2
POST-MATCH St. Croix vs Thunder Bay Chill
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thunder Bay Chill edged past St. Croix 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Thunder Bay Chill made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of St. Croix vs Thunder Bay Chill?

St. Croix 1-2 Thunder Bay Chill in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Croix vs Thunder Bay Chill?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thunder Bay Chill win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Croix 36%, draw 25%, Thunder Bay Chill 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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