Bremer SV 2-4 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 45%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
2.20/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.01
+50% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bremer SV
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
5 Corners 0
08.05.2024 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 4-4 HT 2-3 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
20.08.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 0-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
04.12.2022 Bremer SV Bremer SV 4-0 HT 3-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
06.08.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bremer SV
2-4
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bremer SV vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg saw off Bremer SV 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Weiche Flensburg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bremer SV had 54% of the ball to Weiche Flensburg's 46%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Bremer SV and 1.50 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of Bremer SV vs Weiche Flensburg?

Bremer SV 2-4 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bremer SV vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bremer SV 37%, draw 25%, Weiche Flensburg 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weiche Flensburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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