Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.4
1/2
9%
21.2
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
8%
9.0
X/2
18%
4.18
X/X
8%
5.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.22
2/X
7%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 57%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +4%
1.29/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.01
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
17.9 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.84 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
292 Passes 362
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
14.04.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
10.03.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
22.10.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-3 HT 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
03.06.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
09.04.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-1 HT 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
1-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
0.82 xG 2.04
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 10
143 Passes 512
68% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 36
5 Crosses 41
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Klagenfurt and Rapid Wien couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 26% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 74%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.82 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 1.50 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs Rapid Wien?

Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 30%, draw 24%, Rapid Wien 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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