Austria Wien 3-1 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.94
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
27%
5.18
X/2
12%
6.81
X/X
9%
5.28
2/1
5%
23.15
2/2
14%
4.31
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · X/1 at 5.18 — our 27% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.71/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.29
+23% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.5 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
338 Passes 196
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
28 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
11.05.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-4 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
13.04.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
26.11.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
20.08.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
13.11.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
3-1
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
2.65 xG 0.76
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
403 Passes 181
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 12
36 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien got the better of Wolfsberger AC 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Austria Wien had 66% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 34%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.65 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsberger AC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Austria Wien and 1.17 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Wolfsberger AC?

Austria Wien 3-1 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 45%, draw 23%, Wolfsberger AC 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ BTTS Yes
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