HJK Helsinki vs Ilves Tampere Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HJK Helsinki v Ilves Tampere — Team-Based Signals
HJK Helsinki vs Ilves Tampere Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Ilves Tampere
FİN
1-1
HT 0-0
HJK Helsinki
FİN
HJK Helsinki 5-1 Ilves Tampere — Actual Match Statistics
HJK Helsinki cruised past Ilves Tampere 5-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 19% / 41%) promised a tight game; HJK Helsinki found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, HJK Helsinki had 64% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 36%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 3.20 to 0.82.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.50 for Ilves Tampere.
What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Ilves Tampere?
HJK Helsinki 5-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Ilves Tampere?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 40%, draw 19%, Ilves Tampere 41%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.