IMT Novi Beograd 1-4 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +29%
1.52/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.25
-23% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.5 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
330 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
21.12.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 1-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
18.08.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
22.04.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-0 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
29.03.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
23.10.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-4
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
1.44 xG 2.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
306 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo cruised past IMT Novi Beograd 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Zeleznicar Pancevo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 54% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 46%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.44 to 2.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zeleznicar Pancevo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.33 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-4 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 40%, draw 27%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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