Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Colombia - Primera, 11 Aug 2026

📅11/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Millonarios
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
236 Passes 287
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 5
02.02.2026 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
04.08.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
16.02.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
19.07.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
22.01.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 5-0 HT 3-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
01.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 2-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
COMMENT Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Independiente Medellin have scored in every one of their last 5 home league games, while both teams have scored in 4 of Millonarios's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.17 for Millonarios.

When do Independiente Medellin and Millonarios play?

Independiente Medellin play Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 11/08/2026, kick-off 02:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios?

Our model's prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios is a Independiente Medellin win at about 39% probability, priced 2.57 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Independiente Medellin 39%, draw 28%, Millonarios 33%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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