Puntarenas FC 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Sep 2025

📅11/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
52%
Away Win
52%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
0.74/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.99
-36% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.04.2025 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
13.02.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
07.10.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-3 HT 1-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
29.07.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
06.05.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
14.01.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puntarenas FC
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puntarenas FC beat Deportivo Saprissa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Saprissa at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Puntarenas FC had 47% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puntarenas FC and 2.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Puntarenas FC 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 24%, draw 25%, Deportivo Saprissa 52%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
11 Sep 2025
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