Puntarenas FC 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
0.82/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.22
-30% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
191 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
07.10.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-3 HT 1-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
29.07.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
06.05.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
14.01.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
18.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-1 HT 1-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puntarenas FC
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa edged past Puntarenas FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Puntarenas FC had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 40%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puntarenas FC and 2.33 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Puntarenas FC 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 27%, draw 32%, Deportivo Saprissa 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5
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16 Apr 2025
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