CS Herediano 2-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.47
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-16.7pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.0pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.16/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.87
+12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
02.12.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-2 HT 0-2 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
01.09.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 3-4 HT 2-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
14.04.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-4 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
22.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
23.11.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
2-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano nicked a narrow win over Santos de Guapiles 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 49% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 51%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for CS Herediano and 1.33 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Santos de Guapiles?

CS Herediano 2-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 47%, draw 29%, Santos de Guapiles 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
16 Apr 2025
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