CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
2-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
CA Penarol 2-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol edged past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, CA Penarol had 46% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 54%, shots finished 21-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA Penarol and 1.83 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
CA Penarol 2-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay Cup on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 44%, draw 28%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.