Cavese 1-2 Torre Neapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
4.6
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 37% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.08/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.47
-24% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Torre Neapolis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.04.2021 Cavese Cavese 3-0 HT 2-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
23.12.2020 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-0 HT 1-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-2
AWAY Torre Neapolis
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Torre Neapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torre Neapolis squeezed past Cavese 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cavese at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cavese had 61% of the ball to Torre Neapolis's 39%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cavese and 1.00 for Torre Neapolis.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Torre Neapolis?

Cavese 1-2 Torre Neapolis in the Italy - Serie C on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Torre Neapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavese win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cavese 46%, draw 30%, Torre Neapolis 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cavese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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