Trapani 1905 1-1 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Oct 2024

Trapani 1905
1-1 HT 0-0
ACR Messina
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Trapani 1905 vs ACR Messina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trapani 1905 v ACR Messina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
2.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.67
+44% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Trapani 1905 1-1 ACR Messina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trapani 1905
1-1
AWAY ACR Messina
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trapani 1905 vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trapani 1905 and ACR Messina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Trapani 1905 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trapani 1905 had 57% of the ball to ACR Messina's 43%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Trapani 1905 vs ACR Messina?

Trapani 1905 1-1 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trapani 1905 vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trapani 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Trapani 1905 57%, draw 23%, ACR Messina 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trapani 1905), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trapani 1905) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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