Audace Cerignola 2-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.43/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.18
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-2 HT 0-1 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
09.09.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 2-2 HT 1-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
2-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola got the better of Sorrento Calcio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 57% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 43%, shots finished 23-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sorrento Calcio led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Audace Cerignola and 2.00 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Sorrento Calcio?

Audace Cerignola 2-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 45%, draw 25%, Sorrento Calcio 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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