Audace Cerignola 1-2 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
49%
-12.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.56/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.66
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +136% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 2-2 HT 1-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
1-2
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio edged past Audace Cerignola 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Sorrento Calcio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 58% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 42%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Sorrento Calcio?

Audace Cerignola 1-2 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 36%, draw 30%, Sorrento Calcio 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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