Olbia 1905 0-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
5.01
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olbia 1905 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.07/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.20
-13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olbia 1905
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
15.01.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-1 HT 1-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
14.09.2022 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 0-1 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
09.04.2022 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 1-1 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
05.12.2021 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olbia 1905
0-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olbia 1905 vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro nicked a narrow win over Olbia 1905 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Vis Pesaro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Olbia 1905 had 56% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 44%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vis Pesaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Olbia 1905 and 1.00 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Olbia 1905 vs Vis Pesaro?

Olbia 1905 0-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olbia 1905 vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olbia 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Olbia 1905 37%, draw 31%, Vis Pesaro 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olbia 1905) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olbia 1905) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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