Recanatese 1-1 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 31% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recanatese EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.48/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.28
+21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recanatese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Juventus II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 Juventus II Juventus II 2-0 HT 1-0 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recanatese
1-1
AWAY Juventus II
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Recanatese vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Recanatese and Juventus II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Recanatese had 33% of the ball to Juventus II's 67%, shots finished 12-21.

What was the final score of Recanatese vs Juventus II?

Recanatese 1-1 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recanatese vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Recanatese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Recanatese 38%, draw 26%, Juventus II 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Recanatese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Recanatese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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