Casertana 0-2 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.4
No
48%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
38%
+14.6pp
48%
BTTS No
62%
-14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -1%
2.10/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.65
+20% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
2W-1D-0L
AWAY ACR Messina
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
21.12.2015 Casertana Casertana 4-1 HT 2-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
15.02.2015 Casertana Casertana 3-1 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
0-2
AWAY ACR Messina
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Casertana vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina got the better of Casertana 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Casertana had 54% of the ball to ACR Messina's 46%, shots finished 6-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Casertana and 1.00 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of Casertana vs ACR Messina?

Casertana 0-2 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Casertana 53%, draw 26%, ACR Messina 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casertana), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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