Alessandria 0-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
23%
2.88
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.93
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
6.34
6+ Goals
10%
49.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
31%
-8.7pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alessandria EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 42%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.01/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.49
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alessandria
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Virtus Verona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-1 HT 1-0 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alessandria
0-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alessandria vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona nicked a narrow win over Alessandria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Virtus Verona as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alessandria had 45% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 55%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Alessandria vs Virtus Verona?

Alessandria 0-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alessandria vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alessandria 35%, draw 23%, Virtus Verona 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Verona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Verona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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