Rimini 3-1 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.27
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rimini EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.82
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rimini
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.09.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 2-1 HT 1-1 Rimini Rimini İTC
14.03.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-0 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
13.11.2022 Rimini Rimini 1-1 HT 1-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rimini
3-1
AWAY Sassari Torres
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rimini vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini saw off Sassari Torres 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sassari Torres at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rimini had 34% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 66%, shots finished 9-20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rimini and 1.00 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Rimini vs Sassari Torres?

Rimini 3-1 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rimini vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rimini 27%, draw 27%, Sassari Torres 45%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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