Mantova vs Arzignano Valchiampo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mantova v Arzignano Valchiampo — Team-Based Signals
Mantova vs Arzignano Valchiampo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Mantova
İTC
0-1
HT 0-0
Arzignano Valchiampo
İTC
0-1
HT 0-1
Mantova
İTC
Mantova 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo — Actual Match Statistics
Mantova and Arzignano Valchiampo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mantova at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mantova had 70% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 30%, shots finished 12-3.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mantova had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mantova and 0.33 for Arzignano Valchiampo.
What was the final score of Mantova vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Mantova 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mantova vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mantova 59%, draw 20%, Arzignano Valchiampo 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mantova), BTTS No went the other way.