Lucchese 0-0 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.44/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.89
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sestri Levante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 Lucchese Lucchese 1-3 HT 1-1 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
09.09.2023 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
0-0
AWAY Sestri Levante
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese and Sestri Levante fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lucchese at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lucchese had 54% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 46%, shots finished 18-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lucchese and 1.50 for Sestri Levante.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Sestri Levante?

Lucchese 0-0 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 44%, draw 27%, Sestri Levante 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lucchese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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