Renate vs Novara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Renate v Novara — Team-Based Signals
Renate vs Novara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Novara
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Novara
İTC
3-1
HT 0-1
Renate
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Novara
İTC
Renate 0-1 Novara — Actual Match Statistics
Novara nicked a narrow win over Renate 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Novara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Renate had 56% of the ball to Novara's 44%, shots finished 11-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renate had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Renate and 1.33 for Novara.
What was the final score of Renate vs Novara?
Renate 0-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Renate vs Novara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Renate 34%, draw 27%, Novara 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.