İngiltere U21 vs Ukrayna U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İngiltere U21 v Ukrayna U21 — Team-Based Signals
İngiltere U21 vs Ukrayna U21 Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
İngiltere U21
U21
2-1
HT 1-0
Ukrayna U21
U21
0-2
HT 0-1
İngiltere U21
U21
0-0
HT 0-0
İngiltere U21
U21
İngiltere U21 2-1 Ukrayna U21 — Actual Match Statistics
İngiltere U21 squeezed past Ukrayna U21 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İngiltere U21 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, İngiltere U21 had 63% of the ball to Ukrayna U21's 37%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 3.73 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İngiltere U21's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, İngiltere U21 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İngiltere U21 and 1.00 for Ukrayna U21.
What was the final score of İngiltere U21 vs Ukrayna U21?
İngiltere U21 2-1 Ukrayna U21 in the European U21 on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İngiltere U21 vs Ukrayna U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split İngiltere U21 62%, draw 18%, Ukrayna U21 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.