Türkiye U21 3-0 Letonya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.96
Over
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
22%
6.99
2-3
39%
2.19
4-5
28%
2.46
6+
11%
4.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.99 — our 22% vs market 10.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Türkiye U21 win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
-13.7pp
18%
Draw
13%
+5.3pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye U21 EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
-16% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.62/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/3.07
-8% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
570 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.3
Crosses 6.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Letonya U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.10.2023 Letonya U21 Letonya U21 2-1 HT 1-1 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye U21
3-0
AWAY Letonya U21
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Türkiye U21 vs Letonya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye U21 ran out comfortable winners over Letonya U21 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Türkiye U21 as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Türkiye U21 had 70% of the ball to Letonya U21's 30%, shots finished 21-1.

What was the final score of Türkiye U21 vs Letonya U21?

Türkiye U21 3-0 Letonya U21 in the European U21 on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye U21 vs Letonya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Türkiye U21 67%, draw 18%, Letonya U21 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye U21), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Türkiye U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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