Karadağ U21 2-6 Romanya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No Pick
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
33%
3.1
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.77
6+
7%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.1 — our 33% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.91/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.76
-2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
Crosses 16.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karadağ U21
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Romanya U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2024 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 U21
04.09.2014 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 4-3 HT 1-3 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 U21
10.09.2013 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 3-2 HT 2-0 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karadağ U21
2-6
AWAY Romanya U21
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karadağ U21 vs Romanya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya U21 ran out comfortable winners over Karadağ U21 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Romanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karadağ U21 had 54% of the ball to Romanya U21's 46%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Romanya U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Karadağ U21 and 2.33 for Romanya U21.

What was the final score of Karadağ U21 vs Romanya U21?

Karadağ U21 2-6 Romanya U21 in the European U21 on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ U21 vs Romanya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Romanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Karadağ U21 26%, draw 24%, Romanya U21 51%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Romanya U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Romanya U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
U21 More European U21
11 Oct 2024
15:00 Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Moldova U21 Analysis →
18:00 Faroe Adaları U21 vs Portekiz U21 Analysis →
19:00 Almanya U21 vs Bulgaristan U21 Analysis →
19:00 Hırvatistan U21 vs Andorra U21 Analysis →
19:30 Türkiye U21 vs Letonya U21 Analysis →
19:30 Galler U21 vs Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 Analysis →