Kuzey Makedonya U21 2-1 Moldova U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.97
Over
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No Pick
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.6
2-3
37%
1.81
4-5
20%
3.34
6+
11%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.6 — our 32% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya U21 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova U21 EU Bookmakers 19%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
2.28/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/1.49
+1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +42%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 5.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Moldova U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.10.2023 Moldova U21 Moldova U21 2-1 HT 0-0 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya U21
2-1
AWAY Moldova U21
1.37 xG 0.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
382 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Moldova U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya U21 edged past Moldova U21 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kuzey Makedonya U21 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya U21 had 54% of the ball to Moldova U21's 46%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.37 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Moldova U21?

Kuzey Makedonya U21 2-1 Moldova U21 in the European U21 on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Moldova U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya U21 53%, draw 25%, Moldova U21 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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