Galler U21 1-2 Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.41
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
20%
3.48
6+
6%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galler U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.02
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
Crosses 37.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galler U21
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Çek Cumhuriyeti U21
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2023 Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 1-1 HT 1-0 Galler U21 Galler U21 U21
10.09.2012 Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 5-0 HT 1-0 Galler U21 Galler U21 U21
11.10.2011 Galler U21 Galler U21 0-1 HT 0-1 Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galler U21
1-2
AWAY Çek Cumhuriyeti U21
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galler U21 vs Çek Cumhuriyeti U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 edged past Galler U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Galler U21 had 56% of the ball to Çek Cumhuriyeti U21's 44%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Galler U21 and 2.33 for Çek Cumhuriyeti U21.

What was the final score of Galler U21 vs Çek Cumhuriyeti U21?

Galler U21 1-2 Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 in the European U21 on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galler U21 vs Çek Cumhuriyeti U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Galler U21 29%, draw 22%, Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çek Cumhuriyeti U21), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çek Cumhuriyeti U21) ✓ BTTS Yes
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