İskoçya U21 0-2 Belçika U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over Pick
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.61
2-3
37%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.34
6+
10%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskoçya U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.55/2.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.81
-31% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +110%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
252 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
9.0 Crosses 19.9
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskoçya U21
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Belçika U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.38 xG 1.53
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 Passes 403
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 0-2 HT 0-2 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 U21
05.06.2022 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 0-0 HT 0-0 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 U21
16.11.2021 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 U21
24.03.2011 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 1-0 HT 1-0 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskoçya U21
0-2
AWAY Belçika U21
0.24 xG 1.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
230 Passes 655
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İskoçya U21 vs Belçika U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika U21 beat İskoçya U21 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Belçika U21 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, İskoçya U21 had 30% of the ball to Belçika U21's 70%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.24 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Belçika U21 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for İskoçya U21 and 0.75 for Belçika U21.

What was the final score of İskoçya U21 vs Belçika U21?

İskoçya U21 0-2 Belçika U21 in the European U21 on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskoçya U21 vs Belçika U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belçika U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split İskoçya U21 31%, draw 22%, Belçika U21 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika U21), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belçika U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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