İsviçre U21 1-1 Finlandiya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.18
Over Pick
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.24
2-3
42%
1.87
4-5
25%
3.0
6+
11%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsviçre U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.26/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.28
-1% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 8.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsviçre U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Finlandiya U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2023 Finlandiya U21 Finlandiya U21 1-2 HT 1-0 İsviçre U21 İsviçre U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsviçre U21
1-1
AWAY Finlandiya U21
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İsviçre U21 vs Finlandiya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsviçre U21 and Finlandiya U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was İsviçre U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, İsviçre U21 had 49% of the ball to Finlandiya U21's 51%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of İsviçre U21 vs Finlandiya U21?

İsviçre U21 1-1 Finlandiya U21 in the European U21 on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsviçre U21 vs Finlandiya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsviçre U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split İsviçre U21 49%, draw 23%, Finlandiya U21 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İsviçre U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsviçre U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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