Avusturya U21 1-1 Slovenya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.97
Over
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No Pick
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.64
2-3
44%
1.81
4-5
20%
3.31
6+
8%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.64 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.4pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avusturya U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovenya U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.25/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.02
+14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / +52%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avusturya U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Slovenya U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 0
5 Yellow Cards 3
17.10.2023 Slovenya U21 Slovenya U21 1-0 HT 0-0 Avusturya U21 Avusturya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avusturya U21
1-1
AWAY Slovenya U21
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Avusturya U21 vs Slovenya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya U21 and Slovenya U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Avusturya U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avusturya U21 had 57% of the ball to Slovenya U21's 43%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Avusturya U21 vs Slovenya U21?

Avusturya U21 1-1 Slovenya U21 in the European U21 on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avusturya U21 vs Slovenya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avusturya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Avusturya U21 49%, draw 21%, Slovenya U21 30%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avusturya U21) ✗ BTTS No
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