Kosova U21 0-4 Polonya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.78
Over
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No Pick
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.04
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.85
6+
9%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosova U21 EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya U21 EU Bookmakers 66%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.00/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.59
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +38%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
218 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kosova U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonya U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2023 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 3-0 HT 3-0 Kosova U21 Kosova U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosova U21
0-4
AWAY Polonya U21
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kosova U21 vs Polonya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya U21 cruised past Kosova U21 4-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polonya U21 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kosova U21 had 51% of the ball to Polonya U21's 49%, shots finished 13-16.

What was the final score of Kosova U21 vs Polonya U21?

Kosova U21 0-4 Polonya U21 in the European U21 on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosova U21 vs Polonya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kosova U21 22%, draw 25%, Polonya U21 53%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya U21), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonya U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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