Edinburgh City 1-2 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 11 Oct 2025

Edinburgh City
1-2 HT 1-0
Alloa Athletic
📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+6.4pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.7pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Edinburgh City v Alloa Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.99
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
235 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 89%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-5 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
06.01.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-1 HT 1-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
18.11.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 3-0 HT 2-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
30.09.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
11.03.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
14.01.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic nicked a narrow win over Edinburgh City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (42% / 19% / 39%) promised a tight game; Alloa Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Edinburgh City and 2.17 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic?

Edinburgh City 1-2 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Edinburgh City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 42%, draw 19%, Alloa Athletic 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Edinburgh City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Edinburgh City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCK More Scotland - Challenge Cup
11 Oct 2025
17:00 East Kilbride vs Hearts II Analysis →
17:00 Cove Rangers vs Dundee United II Analysis →
17:00 Elgin City vs Aberdeen II Analysis →
17:00 Stirling Albion vs Dundee II Analysis →
17:00 Hamilton vs Annan Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Peterhead vs Hibernian II Analysis →