Bulgaristan vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bulgaristan v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals
Bulgaristan vs Türkiye Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Bulgaristan 1-6 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics
Türkiye overpowered Bulgaristan 6-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Türkiye as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%) came home.
Under the surface, Türkiye saw more of the ball, 78% to 22%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.41 to 1.77.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Türkiye led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Bulgaristan against 2.33 for Türkiye.
Bulgaristan vs Türkiye Result & Final Score
Bulgaristan 1 - 6 Türkiye in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bulgaristan vs Türkiye Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Türkiye win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Bulgaristan 10%, draw 16%, Türkiye 74%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.