Bulgaristan vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bulgaristan v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals
Bulgaristan vs Türkiye Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-0
HT 0-0
Bulgaristan
HAZ
2-0
HT 1-0
Bulgaristan
HAZ
3-1
HT 3-1
Türkiye
HAZ
Bulgaristan 1-6 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics
Türkiye swept aside Bulgaristan 6-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Türkiye as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Bulgaristan had 22% of the ball to Türkiye's 78%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.41 to 1.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Türkiye led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bulgaristan and 2.33 for Türkiye.
What was the final score of Bulgaristan vs Türkiye?
Bulgaristan 1-6 Türkiye in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bulgaristan vs Türkiye?
Before kick-off our model rated an Türkiye win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Bulgaristan 14%, draw 21%, Türkiye 65%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.