Sassuolo U19 1-1 Real Betis U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.53
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.69
X/2
12%
5.68
X/X
11%
5.6
2/1
4%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.52
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.4
Value flag · 2/X at 13.4 — our 9% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo U19 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis U19 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Betis U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 Real Betis U19 Real Betis U19 3-1 HT 2-0 Sassuolo U19 Sassuolo U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo U19
1-1
AWAY Real Betis U19
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sassuolo U19 vs Real Betis U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo U19 and Real Betis U19 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sassuolo U19 had 49% of the ball to Real Betis U19's 51%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Sassuolo U19 vs Real Betis U19?

Sassuolo U19 1-1 Real Betis U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo U19 vs Real Betis U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo U19 37%, draw 28%, Real Betis U19 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sassuolo U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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