İsveç vs Estonya Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İsveç v Estonya — Team-Based Signals
İsveç vs Estonya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Estonya
AVŞE
0-5
HT 0-3
İsveç
AVŞE
1-0
HT 1-0
Estonya
HAZ
2-0
HT 2-0
Estonya
HAZ
İsveç 2-1 Estonya — Actual Match Statistics
İsveç edged past Estonya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had İsveç as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, İsveç had 71% of the ball to Estonya's 29%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.85 to 0.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, İsveç had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for İsveç and 0.00 for Estonya.
What was the final score of İsveç vs Estonya?
İsveç 2-1 Estonya in the Friendlies on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İsveç vs Estonya?
Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split İsveç 55%, draw 31%, Estonya 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.