Cerro 1-0 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jan 2024

Cerro
1-0 HT 1-0
Velez Sarsfield
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Cerro vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerro v Velez Sarsfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro edged past Velez Sarsfield 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Sarsfield at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Velez Sarsfield?

Cerro 1-0 Velez Sarsfield in the Friendlies on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cerro 24%, draw 27%, Velez Sarsfield 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
12 Jan 2024
12:30 Standard Liege vs Luzern Analysis →
14:00 Viborg vs SonderjyskE Analysis →
14:00 St. Gallen vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →
14:00 Hajduk Split vs MOL Fehervar Analysis →
14:00 Arminia Bielefeld vs Rödinghausen Analysis →
14:00 Rudes vs Rogaska Analysis →