Hajduk Split 2-5 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
3.68
Over 2.5
51%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.23
No
52%
3.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
12.8
2-3 Goals
39%
2.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.23
6+ Goals
7%
2.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 12.8 — our 29% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
24%
+25.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
76%
-25.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
77%
-29.7pp
52%
BTTS No
23%
+29.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 29%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.37
+63% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
437 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
2-5
AWAY MOL Fehervar
50% Ball Possession 50%
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar ran out comfortable winners over Hajduk Split 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hajduk Split at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 50% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 50%.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs MOL Fehervar?

Hajduk Split 2-5 MOL Fehervar in the Friendlies on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 46%, draw 29%, MOL Fehervar 25%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hajduk Split), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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